Tuesday, September 2, 2014

NFL 2014-2015 Season Predictions


NFL Season Predictions


Finally, after 212 days 7 hours and 10 minutes, ( that's right, I count down to the minute for football to return ;) ) NFL football is back!  To me, there's nothing like that opening day kickoff of football season, where every team and every fan has hope that this might be their year.  And then after that first kickoff usually Raiders, Jaguars, and Browns fan's start looking to next year and the changes they can make to actually stand a chance.

Replace "Mets" with a bad NFL team. ;)




As my loyal reader (singular) will know, I always post my predictions for the NFL season on the week of the first game.  Usually it's just a bunch of nonsense that I decide to take an unflinchingly rigid stance on and argue with anyone and everyone who disagrees with me.  If you disagree with me, that's fine.  I can't force you to be smart.  Believe it or not, I've actually predicted the last two Superbowl winners correctly in my season opening predictions.  This could only mean 1 of 2 things:  Either I am one of the great minds of our time (ask Wyatt Knobloch), or I've gotten extremely lucky two years in a row and have statistically almost no hope of predicting this years Superbowl winner right.  I'll leave it up to you to decide which it is...

On to the predictions:








AFC

Ok, let me first say that the NFC is about 10 times better than the AFC any way you look at it.  I would say that there are probably 3 teams from the AFC that could possibly make it to the Superbowl.  And that's just because by rule, 1 team has to come out of the AFC.  If the AFC teams had to face NFC teams in the playoffs, we'd be watching 2 NFC teams play in the Superbowl this year.  They're that much better.  However, since 1 team has to come out of the AFC, I'll go ahead and give my season predictions for the AFC.








East


Patriots win the division for the bazillionth time.  Next.
Haha no seriously, as long as Tom Brady is under center, that division isn't going to belong to anyone else.  The Jets are doing the smart thing be starting Geno Smith and letting him get some valuable experience.  I'm assuming because they've realized that they have no chance of winning the division and they're basically going to spend the season under the mindset: "Eh, Why Not".  The Dolphins and Bills are both moving in the right direction, but they're driving a Prius while the Patriots are still taking the Lamborghini up and down their field 4 weeks out of the year.  Like a Prius, the Dolphins and the Bills are both efficient, and it may be smart in the long run, but it's going to take forever to get there.

New England Patriots                14 - 2
Buffalo Bills                              5 - 11
Miami Dolphins                        5 - 11
New York Jets                          4 - 12




West


The Broncos start the season as the embarrassment of the NFL and they know it.  You know how sometimes it's better not to show up to something than to show up late?  The Broncos should have listened to this advice in regards to the Superbowl.  Still, they have one of the best teams in the AFC (if that means anything), and are looking like they should be able to take the West once again.  Chargers go 2 - 14.  Just kidding Austin K. ;).  I actually believe the Chargers will have another good year with their second season Mike McCoy.  They have an underrated defense and Phillip Rivers proved last year that he can still make all the throws to be an all round good quarterback.  Kansas City will take a step back this year because of a few offseason losses and because last year I think they kind of had the element of surprise.  Teams facing Kansas City early last year were probably like "Eh, lets skip practice this week and go Mini Golfing. It's only the Chiefs".  They have no such luxury this year.  The Raiders choice to start Derek Carr over Matt Schaub is interesting, but more than anything, I think they were like: 
"I don't get why the Texans let Matt Schaub go.  Why would you let a good quarterback like him go?  It just doesn't make any sen..... (Matt Schaub throws his first pass at camp)..... Oh.  I get it."  Have fun at the bottom again Oakland.

Denver Broncos                14 - 2
San Diego Chargers          11 - 5
Kansas City Chiefs             8 - 8
Oakland Raiders               1 - 15








North


This division is the second hardest to call in the NFL this year.  I want to believe in the Bengals, but as I typed that, Andy Dalton threw another pick.  I just don't think they're going anywhere with him at quarterback.  They'll make the playoffs again as a wildcard, but that's mostly because the AFC is awful.  The Steelers are about to start going to start a common mistake teams try: go through a rebuilding process while still trying to make it to the Superbowl.  Trust me, you can either do one or the other.  Not both.  If you try to do both, you'll end up at 7-9 or 8-8 every year forever.  And can we stop talking about the Browns already?  Pleeeeaaaassse.  Seriously, I've never seen a team that's going to inevitably suck, get so much media attention.  I can tell you exactly what's going to happen with the Browns:  They'll drop their first 3 games with Hoyer as quarterback.  They'll buckle under the pressure and put Manziel in who will win 4 in a row against terrible teams and Cleveland fans with think he's the savior of the Browns..... until they play the next 9 games.  Be default, I'm going to go with the Ravens to win the AFC North this year.  They have a little easier schedule than the Bengals and I think they're one of the best run organizations in football.

Baltimore Ravens                11 - 5
Cincinnati Bengals              10 - 6
Pittsburgh Steelers                 7 - 9
Cleveland Browns               6 - 10








South


While the North was one of the hardest divisions to pick, this one is actually the easiest.  Even easier than the AFC East.  The Colts should run away with this division for a couple of reasons:  1.  They have the easiest schedule in the NFL.  2.  They have Andrew Luck and the next best quarterback in this division is.... Blake Bortles maybe?  and 3.  All three other teams in this division should have records towards the bottom of the NFL.  The Colts could probably take 4 weeks off and probably still win this division.  The Texans were too busy oggling at Clowney to remember that they need a quarterback.  The Titans basically decided that they're now Jets fans so they can watch Chris Johnson and pretentiously say "We used to play with that guy" to people.  The Jaguars are actually the only team in this division other than the Colts that are actually heading in a direction I like (boy, I thought I'd never say that).  If they put Bortles in as quarterback, he won't win them many games this year, but down the line, he could turn into a solid quarterback for the Jags.  

Indianapolis Colts                 13 - 3

Houston Texans                    5 - 11
Jacksonville Jaguars               3 - 13
Tennessee Titans                   3 - 13






NFC
Ok, now it gets really interesting.  The NFC is undeniably the superior conference mainly because the defenses are so much better.  I believe the NFC has 6 teams that could win the Superbowl this year.  And 4 of them would be favorites facing any team in the AFC.  How do I see it shaking out you ask?  Oh, you didn't ask... well too bad.  I'm going to tell you anyway:




East


First of all, I don't care what anyone says, Nick Foles is not going to throw 27 touchdowns and only 2 picks this year.  It simply won't happen.  NFL teams spent the entire offseason analyzing his weaknesses and will exploit them any chance they get.  To be successful as a quarterback in the NFL, you have to learn to overcome your weaknesses, because defenses will find them.  Now i still think he'll have a good year and the Eagles will win their division, but he's not some superhuman quarterback.  The Giants, much like the Steelers, are trying to do too much in one year.  The Redskins just prove how dumb some fans are since they're screaming to start Cousins over RG3 before the seasons even started.  I don't believe RG3 will have a good year mind you, but you basically invested in the guy for the future and your already screaming for someone else?  That's like the hardcore Ravens fan who drafts all Steelers players.  The Cowboys will find the bottom of the barrel this year.  It actually won't be so much Romo's fault.  It'll mainly be that their defense couldn't stop a JFL team, especially with Lee out.

Philadelphia Eagles                   11 - 5
Washington Redskins                 8 - 8
New York Giants                         7 - 9
Dallas Cowboys                          5 - 11





West


I really really really wanted to pick the 49ers here to come out of this division on top, but there's only so much shooting yourself in the foot I can take before I jump off the bandwagon, and Aldon Smith's suspension was the last straw.  I still think they'll make the playoffs, but in the best division in football, you can't afford to lose anybody for any amount of time.  You gotta feel bad for the Rams.  It's like having a reoccuring nightmare every year.... and you never wake up.  The Cardinals have potential to be good this year, but not great.  So basically the same as every other year.  I think the Seahawks come out of this division once again, but there is a difference:  they are not the #1 seed in the NFC this year.....

Seattle Seahawks                  13 - 3
San Francisco 49ers              12 - 4
Arizona Cardinals                  9 - 7
St Louis Rams                       7 - 9





North


Belive it or not, I actually think the Packers and Bears will tie in record this year.  Now I still think the Packers will win the division (i'm not that crazy), but I do think the Bears will make the playoffs this year.  Their offense is the same and their defense couldn't possibly be worse than last year.  The Vikings will be at the bottom again and my bet is that the next offseason rumors are going to involve Peterson moving to a team where he actually has a chance.  And as always, I believe the Lions will start out good enough and eventually find a way to screw everything up and miss the playoffs.

Green Bay Packers                    11 - 5

Chicago Bears                           11 - 5
Detroit Lions                             7 - 9
Minnesota Vikings                    3 - 13





South


This is one of the most interesting divisions this year.  The Falcons should bounce back considerably, the Panthers should fall back to Earth and the Buccaneers will have a great season with the good ol' Lovie Smith playbook: Run, Run, Pass, Punt.  (Which is why I drafted Doug Martin in my fantasy draft, thank you very much) This Division ultimately will be the Saints to lose.  They are undoubtedly the best team in this division on paper and on the field.

New Orleans Saints                    14 - 2
Carolina Panthers                       7 - 9
Atlanta Falcons                          6 - 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers              5 - 11








Superbowl Pick

With one of the easiest schedules in the NFL, a great quarterback, and a new offensive weapon in Brandin Cooks, I'll take the New Orleans Saints to win Superbowl XLIX over the New England Patriots.  You heard it here first ;)

Sunday, June 8, 2014

NBA Finals Predictions

2014 NBA Finals 
Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs

Well, I suppose it's about time that I started blogging again so the world knows what to expect in the 2014 NBA Finals.  I took some time off for 2 reasons:  Firstly, I wanted to travel the world and find myself.  That didn't happen so my second reason will have to be the one I use which was, I wasn't  all that interested in the sports world at the moment.  I'm not a big baseball guy, although I do call myself a Cardinals fan but that's just because when they win I get a coupon for 50% off Papa Johns pizza.  With the NBA Playoffs don't get me wrong, we had a lot of great series's, but in the end, the two teams that I thought would make the finals did and they did it quick and painlessly.  To be honest, the finals this year are the one series that I am intrigued in because I feel like it could go either way.  Here are my picks:

A lot of people will look at San Antonio and say that they won game 1 strictly because Lebron James only played 2 minutes in the 4th period.  That's not entirely off base, but I will say when I watched the Spurs play and have over 20 turnovers for the game I felt like I wasn't even watching the Spurs.  San Antonio wins games by passing the ball to the open man and making shots.  Basically playing Basketball the way it was meant to be played.  I haven't seen the Spurs have that bad of a playoff game in over 3 years.  And yet they still ended up winning the game.  If they want to beat Miami in this series they have to do 3 things:

1. Put Kawhi Leonard on Lebron whenever possible and keep him out of foul trouble.

Kawhi Leonard has really grown into his own NBA player this season and has potential to be one of the Leagues best defenders in the near future.  He has the quickness and the size to keep up with Lebron James but the Spurs problem is that he's the teams only player who can hold James in check.  I'd imagine that Miami knows this and will go right at him trying to cause him to go into foul trouble.  If Leonard has to come off the court, that's when Miami is going to pull away.

2.  Body up on Bosh and don't let him shoot the mid-range jump shot.

Over the past 2 seasons, Chris Bosh has basically perfected his mid-range jump shot.  He usually gets hot in the playoffs about this time and knocks down just about every mid-range shot he takes.  Therefore, the Spurs can't allow Bosh to take these shots.  They have to trust that Leonard can take care of Lebron and make Dwayne Wade and other Heat players take these shots.  Looking at the numbers, Bosh is much more consistent on these shots than every other Heat player besides Lebron.  The Spurs have to limit the inside passing and make other players take these shots.

3.  Don't give Lebron and the Heat a reason to play hard.

Don't get me wrong, the Heat will play hard Basketball during the finals and do whatever they can to win.  But at this point the finals are all business.  When Basketball turns from business to personal is when Lebron and the Heat will just annihilate teams in the paint.  Basketball players play better when they are angry or need to prove a point.  You can't tell me it's a coincidence that Durant knocked down 50+ points the day after a newspaper article ran about him not being clutch.  Unfortunately for San Antonio, nobody plays better in clutch situations than Lebron James.  When he's angry about a call or something, you can see it on his face for the next 4 minutes and just like that, he himself scores 12 unanswered points.  San Antonio needs to be respectful and all business and they'll have a legitimate shot to win the NBA title this year.

Its a tall order to beat the 2 time champs, but on the other hand, the Heat don't exactly have it easy either.  They have to do a lot more than the Spurs because there are a lot more players who can score on the Spurs.  They can attack you from more angles, but to be fair, I'll just tell you the 3 biggest things the Heat have to do to defeat the Spurs and 3-peat.  

1. Defend at the rim.


The Spurs undoubtedly have the size advantage on the Heat.  With Tim Duncan and Tiago Splitter the Spurs boast one of the best Power Forward - Center combos in the NBA.  The Heat don't have this luxury especially since Bosh isn't really considered a center but more of a forward.  The Heat are going to have to really utilize Chris Andersen and Lebron's blocking ability to stop Duncan and Splitter from having a scoring fest from the paint.

2. Contest Shots.

The Spurs are the best in the NBA at moving the ball and finding the open man.  If Miami wants to beat them, they have to limit open shots and contest every shot.  The Heat's goal should be to make every shot difficult for the Spurs and make sure that they get no easy points.  The Finals are not a time to play relaxed on defense.  Miami needs to be flying around the court to defend every shot the Spurs attempt and be ready for the rebound.

3. Embrace Youth (comparitively) and Expose Age

The Spurs have one of the oldest big 3's in the NBA with Duncan hitting 38, Ginobili being 36, and Parker hitting 32.  This is compared to the Heat's big 3 with Lebron being 29, Bosh being 30, and Wade hitting 32.  The Heat need to embrace their comparative youth and play fast paced and up tempo.  Force the Spurs to match their level of play and score quickly.  This will expose the Spurs age as well as turn the game into the type of game the Heat want to play because if the game becomes a game of fundamentals, the Spurs will beat them just about every time.

Series Prediction

In the last 35 years, there have only been 6 NBA Finals series that went to 7 games.  They were always with very evenly matched teams and if you recall, last year the NBA Finals was one of the 6 that went to 7 games.  After reviewing the Spurs and Heat's head to head stats, I would have to say I think we may be in for number 7.  I'm sure it will be a closely contested series, but in the end I think Kawhi Leonard will get in foul trouble one of the games and that will be the difference in this series.  The Heat will be the first team to three-peat since the Kobe Bryant led Lakers.  And the same question will appear again:  Is Lebron James as good as Michael Jordan.  I'm sure that will be a nice bit of controversy for ESPN and other sports networks to talk about for the entire off-season.

Miami Heat Win 4 - 3

Saturday, February 1, 2014

Super Bowl Sunday

Super Bowl Sunday

The last time two number one seeds met in the Super Bowl was 3 years ago when the Saints took down the 5 point favored Colts with Manning at QB.  Manning enters this week as a 2.5 point favorite this year, but will he be able to move the ball with his #1 rated offense against the Seahawks fierce #1 defense?  Since it's the Super Bowl, I decided to look at this game position by position to see who has the edge.  Take a look.

Quarterback

While Russell Wilson has had another good year with the Seahawks, he actually went through somewhat of a sophomore slump.  It wasn't really his fault.... (well, it kinda was.  Anytime you miss open receivers that's your fault), but defenses can defend against you much more effectively after they have an off season to look at tape of you and find your weaknesses.  In the NFL, you're not going to be any good as a quarterback if you have obvious weak points in your game.  While I don't think Wilson has many weak points, he could stand to develop more as an NFL quarterback.  On the flip side, Peyton Manning has had one of the best seasons a quarterback has ever had.  Granted he has the best offense in the football to work with, but he put up some monster numbers and burned me and thousands of other people in Fantasy more than once.  They say playing in previous Super Bowls doesn't help a quarterback, but Manning playing in over 200 more NFL games than Wilson does.
Broncos

Running Back

Knowshon Moreno has been a big part of the Broncos success as of late.  At the start of the season John Fox was mainly looking for a running back to play pass support in picking up blitzes and being able to run without picking up negative yards to take some of the defensive line pressure off Manning.  With Moreno, he got much more than that though.  Moreno emerged as the clear number one back for his team after posting over a 1,000 yard season and 13 combined touchdowns.  Part of Moreno's break out season had to do with the fact that the Broncos have one of the best passing attacks in football so defenses tend to focus on stopping the receivers over the running back.  Moreno had a good season, but it pales in comparison to Marshawn Lynch's season.  Lynch only put up around 200 more yards than Moreno and only 1 more touchdown, but he was able to do all of this with defenses mainly focusing on shutting him down.  If you watch pre-game interviews with head coaches and defensive coordinators all they talk about is how they have to stop Marshawn Lynch to win.  Not to mention, the Seahawks had injuries all season long on their passing side of the football which put even more focus on the run.  Even with all these adversities, Lynch is a big reason why the Seahawks went 13-3 this season and made it to the Super Bowl.  Unbelievable.
Seahawks

Wide Receivers / Tight End

Percy Harvin coming back from injury for the Super Bowl could be a wild card for the Seahawks in the Super Bowl.  He's an explosive player and a threat to take it to the house anytime he has the ball.  The Seahawks are lucky to have him, because they would get smoked in this category without him.  Well... they still get smoked... The Broncos have one of the best (if not THE best) receiving corps in football.  I haven't seen a roster this stacked since the 2007 Patriots.  In fact, this is the first time in NFL history that 4 players on the same team have 10 or more receiving touchdowns.  The Broncos better enjoy this while they can, because the problem with having so many playmaking receivers on one team is that soon you won't be able to afford them.  Lets face it; it's easier for Eric Decker or Wes Welker  to make plays when you have a teams 2nd or 3rd corner back on you.  Decker hits free agency this off season and I'm sure the Broncos would love to keep him, but he may be a luxury they just can't afford.
Broncos

Offensive Line

Both of these offensive lines have had their good times and bad times this season.  The Seahawks have done a great job blocking for Marshawn Lynch, but they have had a hard time protecting Russell Wilson this season.  On the other hand, the Broncos have done an ok job protecting Manning this season and a decent job blocking for the running game.  Of course, that was before they faced the Seahawks fierce front four.  They're going to have to step up their play if they want a chance to win Super Bowl XLVIII.
Broncos

Defensive Line

While the Broncos Defensive line has played well this season, the Seahawks D line is on fire.  They did break contain a couple times against Kaepernick, but luckily for them they don't have to worry about Manning breaking out any 50 yard runs.  They consistently beat offensive linemen one on one which is going to mean the Broncos are going to have to do a lot more max protect plays.  This makes life a heck of a lot easier on the Seattle's corner backs who are no slouches on defense either.  I'm taking Seattle's D line to get over 3 sacks.
Seahawks

Secondary

Ahh, Richard Sherman.  Thanks to him, there won't be many casual fans watching out there this year.  He single-handedly made any viewer on the fence a Broncos fan.  Personally, I thought his outburst was hilarious and I wish more players spoke their mind instead of saying exactly what everyone wants to hear, but that's just my opinion.  Anyway, back to the actual game.  It's a good thing that the Broncos have such a good receiving core because their going to need in against the Seahawks.  The Seahawks have the best secondary in the league not only statistically, but mentally as well.  The Seattle corner backs and safeties just have the mentality of no matter who they go up against, they can win one on one.  If the refs let Seattle's secondary play their physical type of game, then the Seahawks have a good shot at walking out of Met Life Stadium as Super Bowl Champions.  
Seahawks

Special Teams

Both of these teams have very good special teams players and honestly one match-up I'm really looking forward to is watching John Ryan (Seattle's Punter) trying to keep the ball away from Trindon Holliday.  Seattle's punt unit is one of the best in the business and only gave up 82 yards all season.  That is ridiculous!  On the other side of the ball, Trindon Holliday is one of the best in the business at returning punts and kickoffs.  You have to figure field position is going to be very important in this game, so how the special teams play is extremely important.  Ultimately, I'm giving the edge to the Broncos in this category, because I like the way Matt Praters been playing and if he has to go out and hit a game winner, I'd trust him more than most kickers.
Broncos

Intangibles

The intangibles category has to do with things that teams can't control such as temperature, wind, crowd noise, etc.  Right now, It looks like the weather is going to be in the Low 40's around kickoff with scattered showers throughout the game.  Manning has played well in low temperatures this year, but the team that the weather will have less effect on will be the Seahawks.  As a run-first team, wind and rain don't really effect the way that Lynch runs the ball.  Pass-first teams are always a little more vulnerable to having bad weather negatively effect their game play.  
Seahawks

Final Verdict:
It looks like were in for a good Super Bowl this year.  The teams tied in number of categories 4-4.  I would say expect a close game with a one score margin of victory.  After looking at each category, I would have to say I'm not switching my pick.  I picked the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl before the season started and I'm sticking with them to the glorious or bitter end.
Seahawks 27 - 24

Friday, January 17, 2014

NFL Conference Championship Sunday

Finally after four teams long journey, they're just one win away from the SuperBowl.  If you're a fan of football in general, you really can't deny that these are undoubtedly going to be two of the best Championship games in recent memory.  Obviously, if you're a fan of a certain team and they didn't make it this far you'll be less interested, but you can't deny that this year the four best teams really do remain.  Believe it or not, that's actually a very rare occurrence in the NFL.  

Think about last years playoffs.  Denver (the #1 seed in the AFC) was out in their first playoff game and the #4 seeded Ravens ended up winning it all.  Was Baltimore the best team in the NFL that year?  I don't think so.  I think they got hot at the right time and ended the year strong.  Think about the year before that.  Green Bay went 15 - 1 and lost to the 9-7 Giants in the first round of the playoffs who eventually went on to win the Superbowl.  The year before that Green Bay got in on a wild card spot and ended up winning the Superbowl.  I could go on, but I won't because my hands are starting to cramp up.

Yes, I know that the 49ers were a wild card team, but you have to understand that they're a different team than any of those other teams I just talked about.  First of all, it's pretty rare to go 12-4 and not win your division.  Secondly, can you name 1 other division winner this year who is an all around better team than the Niners?  Me neither.

The main point I'm trying to get across is the following:
Watch the games this Sunday.  On to the picks:

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks


The general rule of picking playoff games is that you always go with who's hot at the moment, not who was hot during the season.  The 49ers are playing some of their best football right now in the playoffs which is a recipe for another Superbowl appearance and only one thing stands in the way of that.  Unfortunately for them that thing standing in the way is the Seattle Seahawks.  I could talk about the previous two games these teams faced each other this season, but in the playoffs, you throw all previous meetings aside.  Its a new game and anything can happen.  The 49ers are going to need to stop Lynch if they want to win this game.  He's burned them several times before and they're going to pull out all the stops to make sure that doesn't happen again.  That means a lot of 7 men in the box which also means a lot of 1 on 1 coverage on the outside.  I know what Seattle's defense can do against the 49ers at home, so this is going to come down to Russell Wilson against the Niners defense.  I think he wont have the best game of his career, but I think he'll make enough plays with his arm and legs for the Seahawks to win a close one at home and head to New York for the Superbowl.
Seahawks 27 - 24

New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
Manning and Brady square off in what may be their last playoff game they ever play against each other.  This is a career making game for either quarterback.  Years from now, when we're thinking about who the possible best quarterback of all time was, this game will surely come up.  To be honest, the stakes couldn't be higher.  Did you know Tom Brady only has a losing record with one team in the NFL.  Guess who that team is.  That's right, The Denver Broncos.  The Broncos are 6 point favorites at home, (which I think is ridiculous by the way) so they should be able to escape Brady and the Pats with an easy win right?  Not so fast.  Brady has won 11 out of 14 games against Manning and has the best running game he's had in a long time.  On the flip side, Manning has the most weapons at receiver he's had in well.... ever.  This will be a close game and could go either way, so I have to go with Manning taking over and winning a close one.
Broncos 42 - 38

Wednesday, January 8, 2014

NFL Playoffs Divisional Round

Crazy week of NFL Playoffs last week eh?  Well, maybe not so shocking if you read my picks earlier ;).  Haha I had to rub in my 4-0 record so far this post-season...  I think the most shocking victory had to be the Chargers not only beating the Bengals, but basically running over them.  The only game that wasn't close also happened to be the one that seems to resemble a certain team last year that won the wild-card round and went to Denver to face the Broncos.... I forget, what ended up happening to that team again? ;) Will the Chargers end up pulling off the upset in Denver?  Here's my picks:

New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks


The Saints had a very impressive win over the Eagles last week.  One thing that surprised me about that game is that for some reason no one really gave them a chance to win.  I don't get why not, because as long as they have the Drew Brees and Sean Payton connection, the Saints are capable of beating any team in the league.  They're CAPABLE, that doesn't mean they will.  They did a good job of bottling up McCoy last week, but this week is a different ball game and I think they'll have a hard time doing the same against Lynch.  While McCoy is more of a finesse speed back, Lynch is a power back and I think that the combination of this and the crowd noise will make it very difficult for the Saints on both sides of the ball.  I think the Seahawks will jump out to an early lead and Brees will throw a pair of picks trying to get back in it.  In the end Seattle leaves going to the NFC Championship.
Seahawks 27 - 20

San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers


This is one of the most interesting match-ups of the week.  Of all the things I could say about this match-up, one thing is for sure: The Panthers would have much rather liked to see the Packers coming to town than the 49ers.  The 49ers stack up very well against the Panthers, and now that they have Crabtree back, that pushes them into the favorite category.  I think the Panthers have the better defense, but they're lack of offensive weapons will show in this game.  Frank Gore won't do much, but he will run just enough to help get Crabtree and Davis open down the field on some play action fakes.  Throw all of the regular season struggles for Colin Kaepernick out the window, because in the playoffs, he's a different player.  I think Kaepernick and the 49ers put an end to the Panthers impressive season.
49ers 21 - 17

Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots


Of all the games in the Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs, this is the toughest one to call.  Mainly because not only could it go either way, but either team could potentially blow out the other team.  History has told me not to bet against Tom Brady at home, but recent history has told me to not bet against Andrew Luck at all.  Eh, I'll just flip a coin and decide who to go with... there, it was heads... dang, I forgot to assign heads to something.  Haha more seriously though, I think this is going to come down to Indy's running game.  If the Colts can establish a good running game in the first half, much like the Chargers last week, they should be able to come away with the win.  If Donald Brown and Trent Richardson get bottled up on every attempt though, the Patriots will cruise past them.  
Colts 31 - 27

San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos


This game will be closer than a lot of people (outside of San Diego) are thinking.  The Chargers were the only team to beat Denver at home this season and they almost beat them in San Diego too.  The Chargers have been playing with a sense of urgency that teams haven't been able to match up against... until now.  Philip Rivers is historically an outstanding January quarterback while Peyton Manning has been the opposite to this point. This is essentially a career game for Peyton Manning.  He NEEDS to win this game.  Expect a heavy dose of Ryan Matthews from the Chargers and expect a lot of 7 men in the box from the Broncos.  Denver is going to make the Chargers beat them through the air.  Philip Rivers can do it, but in the end, its Denver who has the ball last and they seal a trip to the AFC Championship game with a last second field goal.
Broncos 30 - 28

Thursday, January 2, 2014

NFL Wild Card Weekend Picks

One thing you have to love and hate about the NFL is how one play can change your entire season.  Whether its Jarret Boykin taking in a fumbled ball for a touchdown while the defense stood around or the Refs making another crucial no-call that puts the Chargers into the playoffs and keeps the Steelers out.  

No matter what team you're a fan of, (with the possible exception of the Jaguars, Browns, Raiders, and other teams that always suck so the last week doesn't matter) one thing remains constant: Week 17 can be either awesome or it'll suck.  For example: Week 17 was awesome for the Packers and it sucked for the Bears.  In my opinion, I thought Chicago actually outplayed Green Bay, but in Week 17 one freak play will come back to haunt you for the entire off season.  Just how far do the Packers get?  Here's my predictions:

NFC Wild Card Round 1

San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers


The rematch from last year that embarrassed one team and made the other look like a superbowl favorite.  This time Rodgers will be out for blood and post one of the best games of his already stunning career.  Sadly, it won't matter because the Packers defense will give away even more points than Rodgers and the offense will score.  Expect a high-scoring close game, but in the end it's the 49ers who come away with the win once again.
49ers 35 - 31

New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles


While the Eagles have been scoring like it's going out of style lately, one thing really scares me about their chances of winning: They almost lost to the Cowboys in week 17.  Heck, if Tony Romo is playing in that game, the Eagles are staying home for the Playoffs.  I think it's pretty common knowledge that the Saints are a better all around team than the Cowboys.  Expect Foles to get sacked at least 4 times and the Saints to come away with a close one.
Saints 30 - 27

San Diego Chargers @ Cincinnati Bengals


Ok, maybe the Chargers did sneak into the playoffs on a missed call by the Refs.  And maybe they did post an 9-7 season that had few memorable moments.  But I'll say this for the Chargers: They are better than their record shows.  Keep in mind this is the only team to beat Denver at home this year.  The Chargers have a good defense and quarterback Philip Rivers is having possibly the best season of his career.  The Bengals are no slouches in the defensive side of the ball either, so I think this game will come down to one thing: The Quarterbacks.  And when it's put that way, I'll take Rivers over Dalton any day.
Chargers 28 - 27

Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts


Its been a heck of a season for both of these teams.  The Chiefs were one of this years surprise teams with an 11-5 record after having the worst record of any team in 2012.  The Colts on the other hand were looking like one of the AFC's top contenders until Reggie Wayne went out with an injury.  Since then, the Colts have had to fight hard to win any game.  Both of these teams will have a hard time against any of the teams in the Divisional Round, as far as this match-up is concerned I think the Colts have the upper hand.  While the Chiefs defense is one of the best in the league, the Colts defense isn't too far behind.  In the end, I think the Colts defense will find a way to stop Jamal Charles, and if they are able to do that, welcome to the divisional round Indy.
Colts 24 - 17